Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 11.059927 12.328710 13.697353 15.285640 17.080851 19.050163 21.378316
2025-06-22 8.977812 10.651966 12.586404 14.995339 17.926547 21.392282 25.822215
2025-06-29 7.373682 9.232235 11.511769 14.532193 18.457267 23.423295 30.242363
2025-07-06 6.238345 8.193829 10.723845 14.270099 19.164935 25.759798 35.447523
2025-07-13 5.577163 7.657109 10.485207 14.664584 20.773725 29.517810 43.236104
2025-07-20 5.042680 7.208244 10.289740 15.071916 22.446970 33.623809 52.298613
2025-07-27 4.539482 6.729066 9.975661 15.244428 23.781710 37.427876 61.624928
2025-08-03 4.035047 6.177907 9.474301 15.043939 24.483818 40.329221 70.020913
2025-08-10 3.601803 5.679537 8.985189 14.782030 25.026448 43.029733 78.578113
2025-08-17 3.235268 5.241803 8.535000 14.513224 25.500375 45.664623 87.520678
2025-08-24 2.939466 4.885153 8.173265 14.341007 26.108107 48.623030 97.682384
2025-08-31 2.702861 4.601518 7.900692 14.286358 26.916170 52.080466 109.585568
2025-09-07 2.553896 4.460258 7.872183 14.701262 28.742190 57.974484 128.351734
2025-09-14 2.346663 4.191395 7.580317 14.568510 29.443903 61.664852 143.009920
2025-09-21 2.136750 3.895381 7.204145 14.216581 29.630590 64.273538 155.727133
2025-09-28 1.969996 3.663618 6.925144 14.025823 30.136282 67.697120 171.393364
2025-10-05 1.886946 3.585362 6.939563 14.458745 32.120821 74.998202 199.418069
2025-10-12 1.810311 3.511482 6.953702 14.892131 34.180729 82.904859 231.456032
2025-10-19 1.717753 3.395500 6.866858 15.084794 35.689947 89.710523 262.279566
2025-10-26 1.601671 3.219112 6.632160 14.901736 36.225343 94.024865 286.632989
2025-11-02 1.491358 3.044583 6.383403 14.652686 36.551052 97.832149 310.533464
2025-11-09 1.390477 2.881217 6.142938 14.393254 36.809705 101.511232 335.208186
2025-11-16 1.305238 2.744590 5.949446 14.227173 37.301396 105.999480 364.321891